THE AGEING PROCESS IN GERMANY FROM 1995 TO 2002
Daniela SZYMAŃSKA
Abstrakt
The investigation presented in the article proves that Germany still remains divided into two distinct parts from the point of view of demography. Unlike the Western part, East Germany is characterized by a considerably higher burden index, ageing index, and the dynamics of the ageing process. In the former lands of the Federal Republic of Germany the ageing process is signifi- cantly slowed down by such factors as the domestic influx of East Germany immigrants.
The analyses presented in this article attempt to depict the ageing process of Germans on the turn of the 20th and 218t century. However, the concluding remarks try to cast a new light on the demography in the Federal Republic of Germany after the unification of the Western and Eastern States, and also try to challenge stereotypes fossilized by earlier studies. What is morę, it is difficult to predict the futurę of the country with nearly 80 million inhabitants. What will come will probably be decided by the level of birthrate, hence, by the number of the young within the population, and the number of the young when set against the cohort of the post-war baby boom, who are now Crossing the border age of 65. In addition, it is also very difficult to predict if demographic shifts in Germany will still be decided by foreign and domestic immigrants, and if the birth ratę among native Germans will finally increase.
Reference
Datenreport 2004, Zahlen und Fakten iiber die Bundesrepublik Deutschland, Zweite, aktualisierte Auflage, Statistisches Bundesamt (Hrsg.), (ed. Dallinger Gernot), Bonn, BPB, 2005.
“Demographische Prognosen fur ausgewahlte Regionen und fur Ostdeutschland”. In: Demographie aktuell Vortrdge - Aufsatze - Forschungsberichte, No 3, Berlin.
Długosz, Z., Próba określenia zmian starości demograficznej Polski w ujęciu przestrzennym (An Attempt at Determining Changes in the Demographic Ageing ofPoland Within a Spatial Frame- work), Wiadomości Statystyczne GUS, 3, pp. 15-25, 1998.
Długosz Z., „Próba określenia stanu i tendencji procesu starzenia się ludności Europy w świetle wybranych mierników” (“An attempt at determining the State and trends of the ageing process of the population of Europe in the light of selected materials”). In: Szymańska, D. (ed.), Biuletyn Geograficzny Nr 1/2002, Toruń: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Mikołaja Kopernika, pp. 5-15, 2002.
Długosz Z., “The level and dynamics of population ageing process on the example of demographic situation in Europę”. In: Szymańska, D. (ed.), Bulletin of Geography (socioeconomic series), Nr 2/2003, Toruń: NCU Press, 2003.
Holzer, Z., Demografia (Demography), Warszawa: Państwowe Wydawnictwo Ekonomiczne, 2003.
Krohnert, S., van Olst, N., Klingholz, R., Deutschland 2020 Die demographische Zukunft der Nation, Berlin-Institut fur Bevólkerung und Entwicklung, Berlin, 2004.
Kurkiewicz, J., Podstawowe metody analizy demograficznej (The Basic Methods of Demographic Analysis), Warszawa: Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN, 1992.
Michel, H., Dem GSchockD folgt die Implosion, Bevólkerungsentwicklung in Ostdeutschland seit der Vereinigung. Ursachen, Implikationen, Perspektwen, IFAD, Berlin, 2003.
Miinz, R., Urlich, R., Was wird aus den Neuen Bundeslandern? 1994.
Miinz, R., Die Beuólkerungsentwicklung in Deutschland, 1950-1998-99. Lehrmaterial Sommerse- mester 2000, Berlin: Humboldt Universitat, Bevólkerungswissenschaft, 2000.
Statistisches Bundesamt, Abwanderung uon Ost- nach Westdeutschland schwacht weiter ab, Pressemitteilung vom 1. Oktober 2004, Wiesbaden, 2004.
Wieniecki, I.G., Metody statystyczne w demografii (The Statistical Methods in Demography), Warszawa: PWE, 1981.
##libcom.authors##
Daniela SZYMAŃSKA##libcom.statistics##
Stažení
Nejaktuálnější články stejného autora (stejných autorů)
- Daniela SZYMAŃSKA, Stefania ŚRODA-MURAWSKA, The SERVICIZATION PROCESS BASED ON THE STRUCTURE OF EMPLOYMENT IN LARGE GERMAN CITIES IN 1996-2002 , Economic and Environmental Studies: Vol 9 (2007)
