Wpływ długu publicznego na wzrost gospodarczy krajów UE: znaczenie spełnienia kryteriów z Maastricht
Mindaugas BUTKUS
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2381-5440
Kristina MATUZEVIČIŪTĖ
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0573-0072
Abstrakt
Artykuł ma na celu przeanalizowanie wpływu długu publicznego na wzrost gospodarczy danego kraju. Zainteresowanie tym tematem wzrosło znacząco po rozpoczęciu kryzysu ekonomicznego w 2007 oraz związanym z tym gwałtownym podniesieniem poziomu zadłużenia rządów. W okresie od 2007 do 2014 roku wskaźnik długu publicznego do PKB w Unii Europejskiej wzrósł z 58,7 do 86,8%, co otworzyło szerokie pole do dyskusji – czy ta sytuacja oddziałuje na wzrost gospodarczy? Wykorzystując podejście oparte na danych panelowych, autorzy artykułu znaleźli dowód na to, że w krótkim okresie rosnący dług publiczny ma stały negatywny wpływ na wzrost gospodarczy we wszystkich krajach członkowskich Unii Europejskiej, natomiast w długim okresie negatywny wpływ występuje tylko w tych krajach, które nie spełniają kryteriów z Maastricht.
Słowa kluczowe:
dług rządowy, deficyt budżetowy, wzrost gospodarczy, kryteria z MaastrichtBibliografia
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