Choroba kosztów opieki zdrowotnej i braku wzrostu
Abstrakt
W niniejszym artykule zbadano, czy opieka zdrowotna znajduje się pod wpływem choroby kosztów Baumola w scenariuszu zerowego wzrostu. Według modelu Baumola na sektory znajdujące się w stagnacji oddziałuje wzrost płac wywołany wzrostem produktywności. Jednak w gospodarce o wzroście zerowym dochód jest stały. Przebadano to w dwóch przypadkach instytucjonalnych, selektywnej redukcji produktywności oraz redukcji godzin pracy. W obu przypadkach choroba kosztów nie wpłynęła na opiekę zdrowotną. Jednak drugi scenariusz dostarczył bardzo istotnych wyników. W analizowanym sektorze, przy powolnym wzroście produktywności, niezbędna będzie większa liczba pracowników. W przeciągu następnych lat relatywny koszt opieki zdrowotnej wzrośnie. Z tego względu, mimo że choroba kosztów nie dotyczy sektora zdrowotnego, relatywny koszt opieki zdrowotnej będzie nadal rósł.
Słowa kluczowe:
koszt opieki zdrowotnej, choroba kosztów Baumola, brak wzrostuBibliografia
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