AN ATTEMPT TO INVESTIGATE THE IMPACT OF SELECTED INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENTS ON THE POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT OF THE BIGGEST EUROPEAN CITIES. APPLICATION OF THE SHIFTING MODEL (INTERVENING OPPORTUNITIES MODEL TYPE)

Tymon Dmochowski

Politechnika Wrocławska
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9926-0333

Michał Dzięcielski

Uniwersytet im. Adama Mickiewicza w Poznaniu
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7056-5774

Maciej Kamiński

Wrocław University of Science and Technology
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0678-5489

Maciej Szarejko

Wrocław University of Science and Technology
https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8234-4349

Jan Zipser

University of Opole
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6772-7904

Abstract

The aim of this article is to present research of simulating economic change diffusion, based on the well established Shifting Model (intervening opportunities model type). The algorithm allowed to detect macro regions in Europe, that show heightened potential in development of interdisciplinary economic clusters.  Simulation experiments were conducted in two series: for predicting the impact of the Central Communication Port alone and prediction of the joint impact of the Central Communication Port and Via Carpathia (also known as “New Amber Road”). In this paper, we tried to answer the question: which areas of Europe will benefit the most from the Central Communication Port?

            The achieved results of the simulation experiments confirmed the significant inertia of the European economic system in terms of centers and clusters forming, including the durable condition of the most developed regions.

Keywords:

Shifting Model, Intervening Opportunities (model), Central Communication Port, Via Carpathia